Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 10.567752 12.350667 14.295642 16.568851 19.146366 21.971618 25.296022
2025-11-16 7.259330 9.601847 12.428817 16.061656 20.573058 25.955911 32.825336
2025-11-23 5.262678 7.710917 10.918177 15.360710 21.277546 28.801211 38.991515
2025-11-30 4.370944 6.965157 10.596811 15.934604 23.439678 33.455521 47.637918
2025-12-07 3.727164 6.399893 10.366111 16.501741 25.534296 38.085164 56.520204
2025-12-14 3.018555 5.581687 9.608949 16.153985 26.218713 40.742342 62.810432
2025-12-21 2.447736 4.862833 8.870812 15.694217 26.620416 42.942702 68.517763
2025-12-28 2.211632 4.664187 8.921830 16.448874 28.899275 48.016278 78.702406
2026-01-04 1.976543 4.419956 8.851447 16.974520 30.830894 52.662962 88.505439
2026-01-11 1.711515 4.066340 8.532793 17.025036 31.964111 56.111921 96.644338
2026-01-18 1.486391 3.747809 8.227836 17.050275 33.030660 59.491088 104.834355
2026-01-25 1.254041 3.366316 7.745041 16.685476 33.369350 61.674807 111.197853
2026-02-01 1.038033 2.990221 7.246797 16.290334 33.722365 64.082645 118.394572
2026-02-08 0.851552 2.642215 6.757139 15.863464 34.002442 66.436377 125.757185
2026-02-15 0.680350 2.285307 6.183314 15.182667 33.722941 67.773292 131.457739
2026-02-22 0.617094 2.200581 6.208213 15.753206 35.905707 73.638443 145.349718
2026-03-01 0.560720 2.120643 6.230078 16.315236 38.112272 79.677785 159.875490
2026-03-08 0.466632 1.899921 5.868118 15.970946 38.435401 82.228961 168.269226
2026-03-15 0.383511 1.686398 5.482808 15.515687 38.471059 84.217098 175.721126
2026-03-22 0.358681 1.663058 5.598401 16.262979 41.133388 91.424057 193.216773
2026-03-29 0.327902 1.609309 5.620930 16.783523 43.339363 97.858801 209.572253
2026-04-05 0.285916 1.499445 5.463955 16.833549 44.499460 102.276355 222.303217
2026-04-12 0.248906 1.395867 5.305818 16.858543 45.599212 106.627866 235.111649